Introduction
In a surprising move, the influential Rajapaksa brothers—Mahinda, Gotabaya, Basil, and Chamal—have decided not to contest the 2024 General Election in Sri Lanka. The decision marks a significant turning point in the political landscape of the country, especially considering the brothers’ substantial influence in Sri Lankan politics over the past two decades. As the 2024 General Election approaches, scheduled for November 14, the absence of these political heavyweights raises questions about the future of the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) party and its electoral prospects.
Rajapaksa Brothers’ Political Legacy
A Brief History of the Rajapaksa Family
The Rajapaksa family has dominated Sri Lankan politics for years, particularly during Mahinda Rajapaksa’s presidency from 2005 to 2015. His leadership is widely recognized for ending Sri Lanka’s 26-year civil war, though his tenure was also marred by allegations of corruption and authoritarianism. Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Mahinda’s brother, served as Defense Secretary during the civil war and later became President in 2019, leading the country through the tumultuous economic crisis that culminated in his resignation in 2022.
Basil Rajapaksa, another key figure, served as Minister of Economic Development, while the eldest, Chamal Rajapaksa, held various ministerial positions, including Speaker of Parliament. Together, these brothers shaped Sri Lanka’s political, economic, and military landscape, earning both staunch supporters and fierce critics.
Past Roles in Sri Lankan Politics
- Mahinda Rajapaksa: Former President, Minister of Finance, and Prime Minister.
- Gotabaya Rajapaksa: Former President and Defense Secretary.
- Basil Rajapaksa: Former Minister of Economic Development.
- Chamal Rajapaksa: Former Speaker of Parliament and Minister of Irrigation.
Their political legacy has left a lasting mark on the country’s governance, with their decisions and policies continuing to shape the nation’s future.
Decision to Not Contest
Why Are the Rajapaksa Brothers Opting Out?
The decision for the Rajapaksa brothers to opt out of the 2024 General Election may stem from various factors. After Gotabaya’s resignation in 2022 following widespread protests during the economic crisis, the family’s political influence has waned. Public dissatisfaction with their handling of the crisis likely contributed to their decision to step back.
Additionally, the need for the SLPP to reinvent itself after years of being synonymous with the Rajapaksa name might have influenced this choice. This could be an attempt to refresh the party’s image and distance itself from past controversies, especially as Sri Lanka struggles with economic recovery.
Impact on the SLPP Party and Sri Lankan Politics
Without the Rajapaksa brothers directly contesting, the SLPP faces an uncertain future. Their absence leaves a leadership vacuum within the party, raising questions about whether the SLPP can maintain its political strength. However, their support for the party continues behind the scenes, with Gotabaya offering strategic advice and guidance.
Namal Rajapaksa’s Role
Namal Rajapaksa Leading the SLPP Campaign
Despite the absence of his elders, Namal Rajapaksa, the son of Mahinda, is stepping into the spotlight. Namal will lead the SLPP’s 2024 General Election campaign and serve as a National List nominee. A relatively younger face in Sri Lankan politics, Namal has served as a Member of Parliament and held ministerial roles in Sports and Youth Affairs.
His leadership will be critical in shaping the party’s strategy as they head into a competitive election. Namal’s vision will likely focus on appealing to younger voters and ensuring the SLPP remains a significant force in Sri Lanka’s political arena.
His Position as a National List Nominee
As a National List nominee, Namal will not contest in a specific electorate but will be appointed to Parliament based on the overall performance of the SLPP. This strategic move ensures that he remains central to the party’s leadership while sidestepping the potential risk of losing a direct election in a district.
Other Family Members in the Election
Shasheendra Rajapaksa’s Candidacy from Moneragala
While Mahinda, Gotabaya, Basil, and Chamal will not be contesting, other members of the Rajapaksa family are stepping forward. Shasheendra Rajapaksa, Chamal’s son, is set to contest from the Moneragala District. He has previously served as the Chief Minister of Uva Province and has been a key player in regional politics.
Nipuna Ranawaka’s Candidacy from Matara
In addition to Shasheendra, Nipuna Ranawaka, another member of the extended Rajapaksa family, will contest from the Matara District. Ranawaka, the son of a former MP, represents the next generation of Rajapaksa-affiliated politicians, ensuring that the family’s influence continues at some level, even without direct involvement from the key figures.
SLPP’s Strategy Without the Rajapaksas
Navigating the Election Without the Rajapaksa Brothers
The SLPP now faces the challenge of navigating the 2024 General Election without the direct participation of its most prominent figures. With Namal Rajapaksa leading the campaign and other younger family members contesting, the party must reinvent its messaging to remain competitive.
Gotabaya’s Supportive Role
Though not contesting, Gotabaya Rajapaksa will continue to support the SLPP behind the scenes. His involvement, while less visible, ensures that the party still benefits from his experience and network. However, how much influence this will have on voters remains to be seen.
Election Forecast and Public Response
Public Opinion on the Rajapaksas Stepping Back
Public reaction to the Rajapaksa brothers stepping back has been mixed. While some view this as an opportunity for new leadership, others remain skeptical about the SLPP’s future without the Rajapaksas at the helm. The economic crisis and political unrest of 2022 have undoubtedly dented the family’s popularity, but they still retain a loyal voter base, particularly in rural areas.
Predictions for the SLPP’s Performance
The SLPP’s performance in the 2024 General Election will largely depend on Namal Rajapaksa’s ability to rally support and distance the party from past controversies. While the Rajapaksa name still carries weight, it will be essential for the SLPP to present fresh ideas and solutions to Sri Lanka’s ongoing economic challenges if they hope to perform well in the election.
Conclusion
The Rajapaksa family’s decision to step back from the 2024 General Election marks a significant shift in Sri Lankan politics. While Mahinda, Gotabaya, Basil, and Chamal Rajapaksa will not be contesting, Namal Rajapaksa and other family members will continue to play key roles in the SLPP’s future. As the election approaches, the SLPP faces the challenge of defining itself without the direct involvement of the Rajapaksa brothers, relying on Namal’s leadership to secure its position in a rapidly changing political landscape.
FAQs
When is the 2024 General Election in Sri Lanka?
The 2024 General Election is scheduled for November 14.
Why are the Rajapaksa brothers not contesting the election?
The Rajapaksa brothers have opted out due to public backlash following the 2022 economic crisis and to allow the SLPP to reposition itself with new leadership.
Who will lead the SLPP campaign for the 2024 election?
Namal Rajapaksa, son of Mahinda Rajapaksa, will lead the SLPP’s election campaign.
What is Namal Rajapaksa’s role in the upcoming election?
Namal Rajapaksa will serve as a National List nominee and lead the SLPP’s election strategy.
Which Rajapaksa family members are still contesting in the election?
Shasheendra Rajapaksa will contest from Moneragala, and Nipuna Ranawaka will contest from Matara.